Originally Posted by SMcGavin
I don't get this. Nobody has talked about it but Harang is pretty close to being the same dude we all loved in 06 and 07...
06: 3.89 xFIP, 8.5 K/9, 2.2 BB/9
07: 3.81 xFIP, 9.0 K/9, 2.1 BB/9
09: 3.85 xFIP 7.9 K/9, 2.3 BB/9
Harang is still a good pitcher, he's pretty durable, and I don't have a problem paying him well next year.
I'm into Peripherals (though I don't really care for stats derived from them like FIP,X-FIP or Runs Created) and use this method for judging guys I don't see pitch all the time, but in the case of Arroyo and Harang, here is what I see. Arroyo is more likely to have a few uber-stinkers that really skew his stats as compared to his overall performance, but I also think he is more likely to pitch deep into games more often at this point while putting up a major league caliber performance that gives his team a chance to win well into the late innings (while mixing in more dominant performances as well) than Harang is. Over 32 starts, I think Arroyo is more likely to pitch more games that give his team a good chance to win than Harang will and for me its about winning games.
OTOH, if I were playing fantasy baseball and had to have one on my team, I'd take Harang since Arroyo's stinkers would be more harmful. The Reds don't play fantasy baseball though and its about winning games. I just happen to think Arroyo is more likely to make that happen more often over a season than Harang will at this point in both of their careers. Maybe its the pills
Given Volquez injury, this team probably needs to keep them both since I just don't see the Reds getting an upgrade for the money avaialable even if these contracts are purged somehow.