Thread: Drew Stubbs
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Old 09-17-2009, 02:52 PM   #28
Brutus
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Location: Atlanta, Ga.
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Re: Drew Stubbs

Quote:
Originally Posted by TRF View Post
hmm you left out a few things. Like this is a down year for sizemore who has a career .851 OPS, Granderson with a career .832. Jones and Fukudome are in just their second full seasons and both improved dramatically at the plate. Throw in BJ Upton, who is in a weird downward spiral, but is still younger than Stubbs and has an .894 OPS season under his belt. That's a number Stubbs will likely never even sniff.

9 guys over .800, five within spitting distance, and all five are likely to hit over .800 multiple times when their careers are over.

Almost half of the regular CF's

I want the Reds in that half. that's where we ALL should want the Reds and it isn't unrealistic.

So that's 14, 15 if you count Upton, which I do, with .800 OPS potential
I didn't really leave anything out. Because if we play that game, you could argue many of those guys would also not consistently carry 800 that are over it. In any given year, you're going to find that these numbers are pretty consistent with the bulk of starting Major League centerfielders.

A lot of guys have 800 OPS "potential." But having that potential and actually doing it on an annual basis are two very different things.

An 800 OPS for this position really is an exception more than a rule.

I would love to see Stubbs be a perennial 800 OPS CF. It's certainly not a bad goal to have for him. I just think goals and expectations are two different things. I want him to do that, I just don't feel it's proper to expect it. For purpose of expectation, 760-800 would be more than plenty to make him extremely valuable with his glove. If he does exceed that, it's gravy.
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