Originally Posted by Sea Ray
I disagree. If Homer doesn't look like a TOR starter in the making then I don't know what one looks like
We said the same thing about Johnny Cueto and he (for whatever reason -- be it fatigue from winter ball or otherwise) took a step back this year. Ditto Jay Bruce on the offensive side. Baseball is tough on young players, and sometimes they take a few extra turns before they finally get around the proverbial corner.
Point is, Homer Bailey is a true wild-card. He could enter 2010 as the dominant pitcher he finished 2009 as -- a guy who can go 7-8 innings, striking out roughly a batter per. But he could also be a mix of that and the guy who was walking as many people as he struck out and getting hit around every other start. That's why you can't count on anything about Homer Bailey -- you can know that he's going to be part of your rotation, but can't say conclusively (yet) that he's going to be this or that.
In that case, getting a guy to shore up the rotation -- a guy who you have a good idea based on past-performance WILL be that #1 / #2 type guy -- becomes even more important.
I look at it this way -- why be content with just the possibility that Homer Bailey will be dominant in 2010? Why not go out and ensure you have someone who can be a hammer at the top of the rotation? Then, if Homer does set the world on fire out of the gate, you've got two people at the top of your rotation that nobody wants to see. I like that. Lots.
As for Cordero, I'll agree that he's earned his money here. But, as shown this year, he's useless if you can't get the ball to him with a lead. Personally, I'll take my chances with Nick Masset in the 9th and a hammer pitching the first 7.
It's all up to Walt and Casty, though. I think they're going to dumpster dive (in which case getting Dave Duncan becomes of paramount importance), but I really hope they prove me wrong.