Originally Posted by mace
We're saddled here with painfully small samples, so I thought I'd go ahead and combine Francisco's totals from last winter's Dominican League and this year's stops at Louisville and Cincinnati, his three highest levels.
Dominican: 173 PA, 161 AB, 58 H, 12 HR, 107 TB, 12 BB, 37 RBI
Louisville: 99 PA, 92 AB, 33 H, 5 HR, 55 TB, 4 BB, 19 RBI
Cincinnati: 25 PA, 21 AB, 9 H, 1 HR, 13 TB, 3 BB, 7 RBI
Totals: 297 PA, 274 AB, 100 H, 18 HR, 175 TB, 19 BB, 63 RBI
That's a slash line of 365/401/639. An OPS of 1.040, with 63 RBIs, in essentially half a full season. Even if he were to tank over the other half of that season--which is in direct contrast to the pattern he's presenting--it would be a heckuva line for a kid of 22.
I'm not saying he's Pujols or Fielder. I'm just saying there's a whole lot to like. Alonso may well prove to have a better package, but to this point, no other hitter in the system has shown me as much as Francisco.
Not sure if it was intentional or not, but you left out his K numbers, which are abornomally high. And the sample size is quite small. I think you have to at least throw in the AA numbers in the mix too.
The power is legit...I don't think anyone on RZ or anywhere else would dispute the immense power that JF has.
At 22, Wily Mo hit 26 HRs in the MAJORS and OPS'ed .843 in 336 ABs. Problem was, he struck out 108 times. That's nearly a 33% K rate. Very similiar to some of the rates JF has put up.
Wily Mo had actually proven more at 22 than JF has at this point. I will say that JF is a better defender...but what's to be excited about here? JF has to cut down on the strikeouts, has to walk more and get on base.
I'm not quite understanding the love here. I would try to package this guy as soon as possible and sell high. Potential is great, but if he could land the Reds a player that can help out now, I'd trade him.