Originally Posted by urdun
Every time we have a discussion about poor selectivity at the plate I.E. swinging at bad pitches, pitcher's pitches etc. I am reminded of the philosophy of great hitters. Now not every hitter can be a great hitter it takes more than an approach. But adopting an intelligent approach does allow all players to maximize their ability. Even Vlad who is well known as a free swinger isn't devoid of a decent approach, with a career walk rate of 8.75%. Of course alot of that is of the intentional variety, but even when you take those away he isn't swinging at just anything all the time.
Juan has to be able to walk enough to keep the opposition honest. And we know that stats tend to drop off going from the minors to the majors. So my question is what BB rate should he have at minimum in AAA to give him a decent shot at having the minimum respectable BB rate in the pros? I know it's not a given but would 8% equate to say 6% (sans IBB) at the major league level? And is that the minimum acceptable rate for the pros and still be a an impact level bat?
had an article on Vlad the other day. Vlad swings at 50% of the pitches thrown to him outside of the strikezone. Thats 20% more than the average guy in baseball. Thats an incredible amount.
The problem isn't his low walk rate. Guys can get by with the walk rate in the 4-5% range. They just have to be making contact at a high level so they can also carry a .300 batting average year in and year out. Depending on how often a guy strikes out is going to change how often he should be walking in order to post a solid OBP. If Francisco stays in his 20% range, he probably needs to walk at the very least 8% of the time in the majors. Thats about double of what he has been doing so far.