Originally Posted by dougdirt
had an article on Vlad the other day. Vlad swings at 50% of the pitches thrown to him outside of the strikezone. Thats 20% more than the average guy in baseball. Thats an incredible amount.
The problem isn't his low walk rate. Guys can get by with the walk rate in the 4-5% range. They just have to be making contact at a high level so they can also carry a .300 batting average year in and year out. Depending on how often a guy strikes out is going to change how often he should be walking in order to post a solid OBP. If Francisco stays in his 20% range, he probably needs to walk at the very least 8% of the time in the majors. Thats about double of what he has been doing so far.
Ok thanks. If I may let me ask this question. Hypothetically if Juan Francisco walks at 4%, K's at 20%, gets 600+ pa's and has a slightly high BABIP doesn't that give us a really definitive general area of what he will do
? And if so what is that? Let's just say he hit 7th in the lineup, which would be pretty likely.