Re: 2010 Reds ZiPS Projections
If the playing time is about right, the offense projects to be slightly below league average to slightly above:
Stubbs/ Dickerson CF 77 (600 ABs, 100 ABs for Dickerson)
Janish SS 72 (Weakest part of offense by far.)
Votto 1B 128 (Lower than expected, especially considering he's entering his prime years.)
Rolen/ Francisco 3B 100 (Rolen gets two-thirds of the ABs, Francisco the others. ZiPS likes Francisco more than most on Redszone.)
Bruce/ Dickerson RF 100.5 (Projections for playing time are a little out of whack, and ZiPS projects very little boost for Bruce next year. Bruce = Kearns, in ZiPS' view.)
Gomes/ Balentien LF 100.5 (League average bat between them, in a 50/50 platoon.)
Phillips SS 102 (ZiPS likes them some Brandon Phillips. If glove added in, he becomes more valuable in 2010 than Votto.)
Hanigan C 87 (Need a free agent a great deal here, but ZiPS really likes Corky.)
The starting pitching looks to be above average as a whole. ZiPS really, really likes Matt Maloney, but fears and distrusts Homer Bailey. As a unit, the starters would average out as a 102.2 with missed starts being filled by ERA+ numbers (120, 95, 92) that are pretty close to league average as well.
The relievers grade out as well above average, at 119.3, with Lincoln in reserve at 93.
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