Originally Posted by RedsManRick
I'll be interested to see how PECOTA handles him. But I think it's actually reasonable given his statistical track record. He won't likely to continue his 17% HR/FB and his 27% K rate is pretty ugly.
It really comes down to sustaining his power production.
Historically, guys with one or two months at the end of the season as their only data, have been near impossible to project correctly.
Way too little data, against usually lesser talent, and there's the whole learning curve on both sides to deal with. There is now a scouting report on Stubbs, and that changes everything.
He could easily have worse numbers than what Zips is projecting and easily have better. It comes down to how he adjusts to the league and how the league adjusts to him.