Originally Posted by lollipopcurve
Everything crystallizes against better competition. Why do you think showcase events are scouting meccas? When you "project" a player, much of what you're trying to do is guess how he will play against better competition. The game speeds up, and the questions become, can the tools "play up" and does the player have the instincts to handle the faster game...
Big step from high school ball to pro ball. Plenty of guys start slow (like Jeter and Chipper Jones), so too much importance should not be placed on a high schooler like Hamilton struggling. On the flip side, though, when a high schooler plays very well, like Silva did, it should make a strong impression, IMO.
Sure, production matters some but without knowing how that production came, and we most certainly don't know if Silva struggled to hit pitchers who throw 90 but killed guys who threw in the 80s (big example, I actually like Juan Silva quite a bit. Loved his swing in the limited video I saw of him). I rely on scouting a lot more than numbers at the lower levels because guys are so raw for the most part.