Re: Stubbs vs. Votto
Right now, in 2010, it's highly doubtful Stubbs will be as productive as Votto or even Dunn, all things considered. His K rate is still too high, and there is no way he continues his power surge over a whole season. I would be thrilled if Stubbs ends up as league average CF over the course of his first full season.
But I do think that there is a better than average chance that Stubbs eventually, two or three years down the road, turns into a 4+ win player, similar to Votto. He has the physical tools, and he has progressed, if very slowly, throughout his minor league career.
I could seem him have a similar career as Jayson Werth. A few years figuring out what type of hitter he will be, then developing into All-Star. Stubbs has the advantage that his defense will keep him playing everyday, so he should progress just a bit faster that Werth.
Stubbs could still stay where he is now, but I like his chances of getting better.
"Imagination is more important than knowledge." -- Albert Einstein