Originally Posted by Mario-Rijo
I guess I just see Lutz as a better eventual arm than most of those current upper level guys. Once a top closing prospect considered as high as a potential 2nd round selection, and even though he hasn't yet put it all together he's had but one poor season. The injuries may eventually derail him but until they do or he self implodes I can't see giving up on him.
I guess I just don't see several of the guys you listed to keep ahead of him as eventually being as good or better. But I'd be real interested to see why you would rather keep Watson, Geronimo, Smit, Avery for example ahead of him at this point?
Watson is probably in the same boat as Lutz. Second Round pick with a good arm and needs some sustained success. Smit and Avery have been starters and while I think they are probably both relievers if they have any future at all, having been a starter gives them the nod IMO. Guys like Geronimo and Medina are probably in the same boat as Lutz and Tabor and it will probably be tough for the team to keep them. Personally with Arroyo and Harang both probably in their last season, I'd like to see a spot or two to try and find a reclamation starter. I'm not high on any of the high minor league starters at this point (including Wood) and in 2011 I see Bailey, Volquez and Cueto as the core of the rotation. Maloney is a possible fourth (I'm a skeptic) and I'd really like to see a vet added on the cheap. Those reclamation vets are long shots, but they have a better chance of helping a big league team than Tabor, Lutz, Geronimo and Medina IMO.