Originally Posted by lollipopcurve
Point being, it isn't a given. Nor is it a given, for example, that you'll have a lefty out of the pen ready to come up. These guys are nice to have in a system, providing ready depth, so that the organization doesn't have to go begging. That's why in plenty of cases I value minor leaguers with those skillsets (whether it's LOOGY or speed + defense + positional flexibility) over kids who are pure projection with no professional track record of note. At some point, the prospect hype fades and you have to take a more practical look at these players, IMHO.
So, right now at least, just to cite a single example, I would have Sappelt higher than Juan Duran. Doesn't mean Duran can't shoot up the list, but he's going to have to break out first. And on and on....
It's also not a given that these guys will reach their ceilings either, right. Which is why they are lower on the totem pole. To use your own example Sappelt might be more advanced than Duran but I doubt he's ever as good as a Sean Henry or even Shaun Cumberland and look where they have been stranded. Just because it's a more modest ceiling doesn't make it any more likely they reach it.