Originally Posted by Bumstead
I don't believe the floor and ceiling I projected for Dorn were unfair. Do you honestly believe that Francisco's ceiling is not higher than Dorn's? He's already reached Dorn's floor...Several of the guys listed above were younger at similar levels compared to Dorn...also, those guys can catch a baseball and actually cover some ground. For Dorn that is a questionable task.
Let me ask you this. What is more valuable to the Reds organization, a quality LH pinch hitter or a grocery bagger at Krogers? What Francisco may or may not do and what Dorn may or may not do in the future has yet to be determined, but Dorn's odds of sticking in the Majors is quite a bit better than Francisco's in my own opinion. And in my opinion Francisco is likely to have a long career as a journeyman 3B/1B/DH/LF in the minors at best. Now I say opinion because A.) I truly could be wrong (he could make the adustment(s) and B.) If there is a chance (no matter how slight I might think that chance is) that you could be wrong on this board you better call it an opinion.
At the end of the day if you have 1 big flaw in your game that most if not all pitchers can exploit in the majors it doesn't matter your upside, other big time tools, your minor league production or anything else. Juan has a strong possiblity of having that 1 flaw and Dorn doesn't, again IMO.