Originally Posted by texasdave
Next up - Logan Ondrusek. Ondrusek turns 25 before the 2010 season starts which is the upper limit for me as far as calling a player a prospect. Ondrusek had a breakout 2009. A wonderful season which gives hope. But before 2009 he muddled along - for lack of a better term. His 2008 season showed an old-for-the-league Ondrusek getting lit up in a pitcher's league. He doesn't strike out a whole lot of batters and has only average control. Here is the kicker for me.
Before 2009 his BABIP was .316. In 2009 it was a ridiculous .208. (I figured out the BABIP using the formula in Wikipedia so I am sure it is fairly accurate)
Is that 2009 BABIP a mirage? I think it is.
To be fair, Ondrusek added a cutter in 2009 that he didn't throw prior to this. There is also evidence out there that the cut fastball is the most effective pitch in baseball
. While Ondrusek's BABIP was unsustainable, if it reaches back to .300 his ERA still would have been under 3.00 this season.
Finally - Enerio Del Rosario. He also turns 25 in 2010 but after the season. Of the three, Del Rosario has posted the best minor league numbers. His K/9 rate is nothing special, but he isn't searching for the plate. He has fine control. I think this is important. However at age 21 his Billing numbers were subpar at best - 5.1 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9. He improved in Dayton at age 22 - 6.3 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9.
The biggest thing with Del Rosario is that he is an elite groundball pitcher, thus keeping the ball in the yard. When coupled with not giving up the free pass, it goes a long way toward success.
With all of that said, I voted to Joseph. I think he can have the best career of them all.