Originally Posted by Kingspoint
I'd suggest going the nights Homer is pitching, then.
I think he'll have the best season as a starter while going deeper into games than Chapman giving him a better chance at wins.
Though Chapman may leave with a lot of 3-run leads and end up getting wins that way.
You can pencil Arroyo in for 15 wins. Somehow he just manages to get them.
Okay, I had to find SOMETHING we agree on.
I think 1/2 of Harang's problem is that he's facing opposing teams' #1 Starting pitchers. That's why he has been having the worst "run support" track record in Reds history the last 2-3 seasons. How many 2-1, 3-2 games did he lose?
Our lineup has been horribly inept offensively - and especiallly against top-notch starters. Hopefully that will change a bit with better guys at the top of the lineup, Rolen added to the middle, Bruce "getting it", etc...
Arroyo always seems to be the recipient of offensive support - even when he's off - he gives up 4 we score 5, he gives up 5, we score 6.
The last half of the season though, he put up like 90% "Quality Starts" though, where he went 6+ innings with 3 or less runs, can't take that away from him. BUT, even when Harang does that, he still loses.
Bailey will probably be pitching in the #4 spot, so that combination of opposing SP's and his stuff this year points to a big year for him win-wise.
IF I was drafting a Fantasy Team, he would be a sneaky pick for me!