Originally Posted by M2
1. The notion that it's all going to come together for the Reds in 2010 strikes me as highly aspirational. I'm not saying it won't happen, just that there's a lot of moving pieces involved in it.
2. Jocketty has had the benefit of following Krivsky. That doesn't mean Krivsky handed him a finished or nearly finished product, just that he has assets to work with. For instance, as much as some have been inclined to grouse about the money spent on Arroyo, Harang and Cordero, the two starters vacuum up an immense number of innings. Cordero has allowed Baker to put together an orderly bullpen and Jocketty to concentrate on fixing other problems.
3. To his credit, Jocketty has strung together a series of good moves. Getting Rolen undeniably helped the major league product. Chapman, though he'll surely have a learning curve, is a top-end arm. Cabrera was a nice opportunistic buy. Balentien could be a factor. He tried to add some reserve player depth to the roster too (though that remains a bit up in the air). Jocketty's on a bit of run since midway through last season. If he keeps stringing moves together, good things will happen. The challenge he faces is that the club constantly faces a veteran talent bleed, which makes it hard to get ahead (and harder to stay ahead if it ever gets ahead).
I agree with pretty much all of that. Playoff contention will still require us to end up on the plus side of the breaks ledger, but it's no longer a total pipe dream, and the best-case scenario is way better than any season in my recent memory thanks in large part to Chapman. Even before that, I think the Rolen trade was a clear signal that Jocketty thinks we're close and it was time to move from the random talent collection phase to a focus on putting together a cohesive ballclub, reinforced since by other signings like Cabrera and, just as importantly, who wasn't dumped over the offseason. Maybe it doesn't quite get done this year but they're giving it a pretty good go.