Originally Posted by jojo
Except that isn't accurate. His FIP is a composite of his peripherals....how could they scream he's all that but not lead to a FIP that was?
Perception? His '06 was an outlier and he really, really liked the Reds defense last season.
The funny thing is that while everyone is claiming that Arroyo is a guy who has outpitched his peripherals, he really hasn't by all that much, at least not by enough for it to be meaningful. But that is because his peripherals are better than most people think they are. His peripherals say he's a very good #3 starter, with a career FIP and XFIP of 4.44 and 4.47 respectively.
I believe that the league average #2 starter had an FIP of around 4.10 and a league aveage #3 starter had an FIP of around 4.60 during the years that Arroyo has pitched for the Reds. So his peripherals put him somewhere between a #2 and #3 starting pitcher. I think that is where most people would put him based on his counting stats.