Originally Posted by RedsManRick
GABP's run factor is almost neutral, suggesting that while you do give up more homers, you can get more outs on the balls that do stay in the yard. I imagine there's some benefit to having guys play in a few bit more than they might in a bigger park. Sure, you trade some would be doubles or triples for homers, but you also trade some singles for outs.
I think it might be a much smaller issue than it get plays up to be.
That's kind of what I was getting to, I guess it comes down to a calculus of;
How many more HR's does pitcher X give up over average pitcher in neutral park+How many more HR's does pitcher X give up over average pitcher in GABP-How many more outs does Pitcher X get than average pitcher+How many more outs does GABP create over average park.
When I'm speaking of HR's given up and Outs created I'm speaking only due to their flyball tendencies.
1) Is there anyway to measure this and 2) What would be the necessary number of extra outs created to home runs given up for it to not be an issue.