Originally Posted by RANDY IN CHAR NC
Good and bad. It's what you get, a lot of times, with young pitchers. I'm surprised that more people can't understand it before they are ready to jump off the ledge.
Well I don't really look at the production perse' if I did I wouldn't have been such a staunch defender of Todd Coffey or Matt Belisle just off the top of my head. You have to look beyond the numbers and at the actual performance. Homer is alot like Belisle in my estimation I think they are/were sometimes both victims of self doubt and aren't always sharp mechanically speaking. I am watching Belisle pitch now and hearing about how his turn around was due to gaining confidence in himself at AAA being thrust into the closers role and told he had to get "this attitude". His pitching coach then said it wasn't a stuff issue but a self confidence issue. I think Homer has bouts of this which leads to his control issues, well that and his long lanky mechanics. The difference in them I think is stuff more specifically their fastballs and I still wonder if Homers is too straight. Belisle's isn't better but I think he just always used it better i.e. located it better and threw it with some movement. I think Baileys is fine and has enough movement when it's 91-92 but when he fires it up there consistently as hard as 94-95 he gets rocked and he just keeps trying to throw it harder due to that lack of confidence. As I said I think he could become an effective 3 or 4 but I just don't see him being a TOR starter. Now can we win with him sure but not at what we thought he could be IMO.
Cueto OTOH when he stays within himself and doesn't also try to overdo it and gets away from his mechanics he's a pretty good arm. I just attribute his struggles to youth strictly. Homers struggles are more complex and more plentiful as to reasons why and therefore makes him less likely of the 2 to figure it out, at least as a Red. Now I'm no pitching coach this is just what I think I see based on observations and I may be wrong but until I hear or see something that makes more sense this is what I will believe.