Originally Posted by _Sir_Charles_
Last season is a pretty decent example of why I consider Cueto & Bailey to be similar at this stage.
Cueto had basically 3 seasons last year. He started out on fire and went 6-4 with a 2.17 era (32/13 k/bb ratio). He then followed that up immediately with a stretch of stinking the place up to the tune of 2-6 with an era over 8.00 for about 2 months. He then did another about face and finished the year up going 3-1 with about a 3.50 era over the last month or so.
Homer didn't really come up until about mid-season, but he also had a jekyll & hyde season. His first 8 weeks up or so he struggled with an era over 6.00. But then turned it completely around with about a dominating of a stretch that I've seen in a while from a Reds starter. He went 6-1 with a 1.70 era over just under 60 innings for the past couple months.
I'll be honest, I wouldn't expect anything less than this kind of up and down from a young pitcher. Mike Leake right now is rolling along fantastically. But he's a young pitcher too...he's going to hit that bump in the road that'll de-rail him for a month or so. I hope that he's the exception to the rule, but Cueto & Homer aren't. Cueto's just had more consistency with his time up in the bigs and they've shown him much more patience than they have Bailey...as have the fans, being my main point.
Well sure Leake is gonna have his ups and downs no doubt about it. But he has a much better feel for pitching than these guys do and he has great confidence in his ability along with good stuff. He's not gonna have such low lows and especially not such prolonged bouts of it. Even Cueto doesn't go thru what Bailey does which is times when he just can't do anything right. Why has Cueto's stuff is better as well and that is the big difference between them IMO.