Originally Posted by RedsManRick
For 2010 only. And I don't think Lee's WAR - Bailey's WAR is going to be THAT much greater than Bruce's - (Bruce's replacement). Lee is worth about 2-3 wins more than Bruce above replacement. But our replacement level SP is much better than our replacement level RF. So, optimistically, you're looking at a 2 win improvement in the regular season. Forgive me if I don't think that puts us in the playoffs.
This is just silly logic. So because a team isn't currently WS caliber, it should trade anybody and everybody on the team regardless of how good they are now and how much potential they have for a marginally increased chance at being good this year and this year only. That's a recipe for disaster.
If this was an 88-90 win team who just need 1 SP to put them over the top, you MIGHT be able to start making a case. But for a .500 team, this approach is how you end up with an 86 win 2nd place finish and a less talented roster moving forward.
I have no doubt they'll sit on what they have and continue to founder in a crummy division for years to come. While the Cardinals or Brewers get starters they can pencil in as 3-4 WAR starters.
It's a formula they've mastered for 20 years.