Originally Posted by Caveat Emperor
Maybe I'm just cynical, but I've seen midseason deal after midsesason deal blow up in the face of the Cincinnati Reds. I honestly cannot remember the last time the team added a player who did anything remotely close to what the team needed / wanted them to do. It seems like these things always backfire for this franchise.
Am I the only one who expects Lee, if he were to come to Cincinnati, to immediately become ineffective and post an over-4.00 ERA the rest of the way? It just seems that's how this story would end.
I'm not convinced that Lee will be as great as people are expecting.
But the Reds really haven't been in this situation in the last ten years. The last time they truly were in contention was 1999. That year they got Juan Guzman for B.J. Ryan, and Guzman was very effective for the Reds down the stretch. Sure, they kinda were in contention a few times, but they were more than a few players away from really contending. I think it was more that the teams just weren't that good, than the trade didn't work out, or at least some of both.
I think this year the Reds are actually a better team than 1999, and one key player can make them into nit just contendere, but favorites.