Re: Who is Redszone's #6 prospect?
Francisco was my pick.
He's been extremely productive across the minor league ladder and in his small sample of major league games. His power is among the best in the game and he's still very young.
When compared to Grandal, Francisco grades out as likely younger at a higher level (as it will probably take him longer than a couple years to be where Francisco is now). Francisco also grades out as a much better bat, with both a higher ceiling and a higher floor.
Grandal grades out much higher defensively and across the spectrum of positional value, but that's tempered a bit by his level and lack of professional experience, especially considering his C position.
As to Frazier, Francisco grades out with better power and better minor league numbers at the same level against the same pitchers at the same time. (Which is just about the only way minor league players should be evaluated with pure numbers.) Francisco's BB rate, a topic of great concern and debate across Redszone, has improved each of the past three years. He still has a long way to go in that arena, but his power (likely a 500+ slugging percentage in the major leagues) can mask a lot of that. Too, he seems to be that odd guy that improves as he hits against better pitchers.
Positionally, it looks as if the Reds are going to keep Frazier either in LF, 1B, and occasionally at 3B, meaning Francisco actually gets a slight bump. Francisco, too, has a higher ceiling. Frazier does have the better defensive range and footwork, but Francisco's arm is tops.
The keys between the two of them is youth and production. Frazier is already 26 and hasn't sniffed the majors. Francisco's 23 and had a couple cups of coffee. Plus, Francisco's numbers-- especially in 2010-- have been better.
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