Originally Posted by Will M
Anybody know if this has been historically close or just voodoo?
The error on these numbers is large enough to make them......guesses.
Some of the assumptions used in forming these numbers ...(how many years to go back. How to weight previous years w/respect to younger players.What to do with minor league #s.) are largely responsible for some of the surprises.
I don't believe Janish or Hanigan will give that much back, but I do understand how you can look at the numbers and come to these conclusions.
Chris Heisey.....Boy, I don't know what to say. Are the reds chumps for wasting him or are they wise for insulating themselves by bringing in other talent? .....I don't know. I don't think you give away starting corner outfield slots based on these kinds of predictions.