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Old 12-17-2010, 09:14 PM   #74
jojo
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Re: Projecting Janish

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNext44 View Post
You're right. To get the best idea of Janish's current skill level we should include up to the end of the year. And I'm pretty bad at math, sorry for the wrong numbers.

BUt I have a feeling that if you did the math, it would reveal that since the end of Aug 2009 to the end of the 2010 season, Janish OPS'd around .700, which is what I would expect him to hit in 2011 if he were to start. Teamed with his defense, that would make him at least a league average SS.
If I did the math correctly, he had 441 PAs over that stretch (Aug 2009 through Oct 2010) with a slash line of .251/.324/.359 OPS=.683.

If he did that over a full season, he'd be something like a league average player assuming his defense was worth +10 runs. Keep in mind that +10 would make him a top 5 defensive shortstop on any given year in the majors.
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