Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?
Originally Posted by kaldaniels
I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.
Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.
I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.
Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.
With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda