Originally Posted by medford
3-0 'tis better than 2-1.
But either way, its the start of the season, meaning that "its only spring training" has been replaced by "its early"
Am I greedy for wanting a sweep over Houston? Houston looks pretty bad, perhaps last place bad. The Reds were made last year by controlling series vs teams like Houston. Keep winning those series, sprinkle in more winning series vs the likes of Milwaukee & St Louis, perhaps they'll fight for home field advantage.
Then again, "its early" one game at a time.
I like the Reds' chances in the first two games of the series. I see us having around a 65% shot to win Leake vs. Happ. I really like the Reds' line-up vs. lefties. Stubbs, Phillips, Gomes, Rolen, either of the catchers and Janish are better against lefties, Votto hits anyone and only Bruce is worse vs. lefties.
The second game, I really like Volquez vs. Figueroa. I see us having another 65% chance to win that game.
The finale will be tough, though. Myers pitched great vs. the Phillies and LeCure should not be starting IMO, when you could have Wood on normal rest. I see the Reds with about a 40% chance in this one. Multiply it all up and I see the Reds only having about a 17% chance for the sweep. I do like the Reds' chances of winning the series.
Hopefully the Astros give us a Sunday Special on Thursday afternoon and LeCure can give us six competitive innings before the bull-pen shuts them down.