Originally Posted by RedsManRick
Regarding WAR, I assume you're commenting specifically on the UZR component? Assuming you are, we should keep in mind that you are only judged against the opportunities you have. So fewer opportunities will affect the scale of UZR (more opportunities means more chances to move away from average).
Let's compare Bruce's 2010 to his 2011.
- .230 balls in zone per inning
- 3 errors on 276 balls in zone (1 error per 92 balls in zone)
- 93.8% conversion on balls in zone
- 1 play out of zone every 14.3 innings
- .195 balls in zone per inning
- 3 errors on 114 balls in zone (1 error per 38 balls in zone)
- 89.5% conversion on balls in zone
- 1 play out of zone every 18.9 innings
So, he's getting fewer opportunities, yes. But he's also making more mistakes, converting fewer reasonable opportunities and making fewer great plays. Now, given the small sample size, it's safe to say that this data is in not necessarily an indicator that he's less talented defensively. However, it seems reasonable to suggest that he has performed worse defensively thus far in 2011.
I agree with all of the above. One question/comment about the errors though. I'd love to see each of those errors when coming to my all around evaluaton of Jay. Was is a "bad" error? Was it an error made trying to make a great play? Should they have even been an error? Yeah, an error is an error, but we are just talking about 6 total.
Kinda like Phillips, I've seen some questionable errors given to him this year. They all count the same on the stat sheet, but no 2 errors are alike.
Not saying I'd rush to any conclusions...I just would want to see them.