Originally Posted by Benihana
My point is that I think both Cordero and Ramon would still have trade value if they accepted arbitration- even at their higher prices. Cordero on a one year deal has value unless he's making over $15MM. I think the fact that K-Rod is reportedly drawing interest on the trade market proves that. Plus, to Kc's point, I think the Reds could do worse than to have Cordero close games for one more season (although I doubt he'd accept arb, and would be willing to trade him if he did).
I agree that Ramon would be more likely to accept arb than Cordero, but I still think he would carry trade value because good catchers are hard to come by.
To say it another way, I would offer arb to both of them in order to get the draft pick compensation, and would feel confident that either could still be traded if they accept. I would not plan on either being on the team next year, despite my wish to offer them arb.
If Ramon H accepts arbitration, I'm not sure it will be so easy to trade him. Other teams might not want to arbitrate with him. Other teams might not want to negotiate with him in an arbitration setting.
I don't think it's very common to get into an arb situation with a player and then trade him. It happens, but not that often.
Again, if the Reds fall out of it (I wonder where they will be on July 4th!) I would trade Ramon. For the rest of this year, he is a valuable chip.
Keep in mind also that the Reds don't have a track record of offering arbitration to their free agents. It would be a departure from their usual practice.
I do agree with you, though, that if the Reds don't re-sign Cordero they should DEFINITELY offer him arbitration. He will get a mult-year contract elsewhere and the Reds will get draft picks.