Re: Phipps -- say what?
I'm far from being a slave to the numbers and take a lot of things that the stats may tell us with a grain of salt. I certainly think that hitters have some control over their BABIP, but in Phipps case, the BABIP is just way to influential in his results and too far above what should be expected going forward. Phipps has K'd over 100 times while walking less than 35. He only has 12 HR. His numbers aren't being driven by great on base skills (evidence the low walks versus the number K's) or prodigious power. That .900+ OPS is being driven mostly from his high batting average. With the relatively large number of K's, that average just doesn't seem sustainable. As Rick noted, if his BABIP were normal at around .300, he'd lose 25% of those hits and it would drop his OPS into the low to mid 700s (in line with his 2010). If Phipps actually is capable of an unusually high BABIP (say .330), he'd still be hovering right around .800. Not bad, but as corner OF go, nothing special. With his athleticism and power arm he can have a decent career as a role player with that profile. I just don't expect anything as a major leaguer remotely close to what his 2011 OPS might suggest. If some GM is enamored with him, its time to parlay him into something with a more solid foundation.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS