Re: Phillips not thrilled about uncertain future
I do want the Reds to be on the hook for Phillips' decline phase. He'll be 32 heading in to 2013. 2B do NOT age well. Both Ryne Sanberg and Robbie Alomar quickly declined as they entered their mid 30s. Phillips seems like a good dude and he's averaged more than 4 WAR per season over the last 5 years. That's easily worth $12MM. But as the Arroyo contract very clearly demonstrates, the Reds need to pay people for what they're likely to do, not what they've done. Let somebody else pay Phillips big bucks as starts to lose it.
I'd extend him for next year and then either let him walk in 2012 or flip him at next year's deadline if we're out of the race.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.