Originally Posted by Johnny Footstool
He's a 3-win player, tops. You don't pay $12 million for a 3-win player.
Well in consideration that he has averaged 4 WAR for the last 5 seasons, that's not really true especially since he has maintained that this year. He's more like a 5 WAR player tops, more than likely a 4 guy.
As he ages, he's more likely to slide to a 2.5-3 WAR as his bat and defense slides. For that reason I would look to trade him for a premium return (and at least pick up the option to play the year) because I don't like the long term value that is likely going to be had on his investment.