Re: Phillips not thrilled about uncertain future
We should do everything within our power to sign Brandon to a three year deal. By "we" I mean the Reds. He obviously wants a longer commitment, but what makes the proposition difficult on the organization's side is the length. I eyeball two or three defensive plays every week that very few second basemen in all of baseball make. I am willing to gamble that he will still be making those plays three years from now. I don't believe statistical defensive metrics are sophisticated enough at this point to quantify that. In addition, he is still an exceptional offensive player at his position, even with the decline in stolen bases.
The Reds should be comfortable frontloading a three year deal to Phillips with a reasonable expectation that he will be able to perform at a high level during it's life. Beyond those three years is where the larger markets have the advantage, with the resources to absorb the sunk cost as a trade off.
If Brandon REALLY wants to be a Red for the forseeable future, it should not be all that complicated.