Originally Posted by mth123
That would make him a solid SS prospect, but a drop off from Phillips. I don't see anyody matching Phillips on Offense or Defense. The Reds seem to have some guys to choose from. The offensive guy who would create the huge drop-off on the defensive side, probably will still struggle to be as good offensively as Phillips. The defensive guy, who would be a huge drop-off from Phillips on offense, probably won't be the all world defender that Phillips is.
Either way, its a huge drop off on the horizon. I have hope that Torreyes can approximate Phillips in a few years, but he has a long long way to go. I'm not sure that the Reds can keep Phillips financially, but if he ends up leaving, I'd prefer Gregorious based on what little I know so far. I generally don't like offense first guys at 2B. Defense first guys like Phillips who can also hit a little are pretty rare and the team will suffer a drop when he goes IMO.
One thought is that the Reds invoke the option, let him test free agency and then offer arb if no one internally is ready. Chances are, the arb award will still be a bigger annual salary than any deal he gets. It might be a best of both worlds scenario. No long term commitment, but still buys time for the kids. Thinking about it, I'd try that route if I were the Reds unless I could get a bargain deal from Phillips.
Defensively, I honestly think Gregorius has the range of Phillips covered. Phillips plays second base because he wasn't a great shortstop. Didi is a very good rangy shortstop. With the bat, I think that you are right. I don't expect him to be Phillips good, but I think that he could match Phillips soon enough. Phillips is likely going to decline.
But at the same time, we are talking 8-10 million in savings that first season that Phillips would get from a new contract too. So there are certainly a lot of variables that need to be looked at in regards to Phillips, but I do know that the chances I would offer him an extension are incredibly small.