Re: Chapman to Arizona Fall League
It was fine with me when they moved him to the bullpen in 2010. From the reports we were reading, it seemed as if he needed the discipline of coming to the ballpark every day knowing he might need to pitch. In 2011, I'm not so sure leaving him in the bullpen was the best course of action, but we had rotation depth (at least at the time) and were coming off a division title, so short-term thinking won out.
But since the Reds can't afford to win bidding wars for top-shelf free-agent starters, if they have a guy on hand who offers the potential to be that guy, they're pretty much duty-bound to try it at some point. This seems like a feasible point. Uncertainty is part of the deal, which is why they'll need depth. But really, a team hardly ever gets through a season with the five original starters healthy and effective, so that's just what I'd consider normal contingency planning.
Not all who wander are lost