Originally Posted by Scrap Irony
I think Arroyo improves simply because he's going to be the "fifth starter." He should be healthier, add back that lost mph or two he lost last season as a result of his mono, and log innings.
Bill James' projections says he'll go 4.00 ERA with a 4.68 FIP. If that happens, the Reds will win 100 games.
I wouldn't slot Arroyo 5th. I would actually slot him 2nd. He is the guy who can give you innings and starts. The Reds do need that, especially going with the likes of Cueto, Latos, Bailey, Wood, or Chapman who haven't shown the ability to throw over 200 innings.