Originally Posted by Superdude
Does a player have to rise out of the scrap heap of futility to be considered a breakout prospect? I figure Cingrani's still hasn't pitched above rookie ball and we're all still guessing what his stuff will be like as a full season starter. I would definitely call going from intriguing arm to big time starting pitching prospect a breakout of sorts.
Break out of the scrap heap, no. Heck, the guy I picked hit .287/.336/.482 two seasons ago. But when Henry Rodriguez hits .320/.372/.469 and is picked as a breakout guy, it's confusing. When a pitcher throws up 51 absolutely Pedro Martinez like innings, regardless of the level, it's confusing. At least to me.
When I think of a breakout type, I think of someone who has plenty of work to do. Or someone who is coming off of a bad season.
Cingrani was the 2nd highest rated pitching prospect in his league this year by BA. The league was down in general this season, but still. A lefty with dominant numbers and strong scouting reports doesn't fit what I think of when I think of breakout prospects, even if he does go out next year and throw 130 outstanding innings as a starter.