Originally Posted by Scrap Irony
I get what you're saying, too, Edd. Upside like Garrett's is nice to see this low in a prospect list. IMO, however, upside is too often focused on without an idea for the gamut prospects have to prove themselves on. For every Amir Garrett, there are ten Thomas Pauly's. No, twenty.
So, I tend to value that upside less until it's shown itself in multiple professional seasons. That gives me an idea of how that arm plays against others that are just as ballyhooed-- or deserve to be.
Judy has crossed every minor league bridge he's needed to with colors flying high. He's going to pitch in the major leagues. Amir Garrett hasn't even thrown a professional inning. Until a year ago, he wasn't even a baseball player.
Another way to look at it though is this.... assume that Garrett could be traded (since new draftees can't be traded until a year after they sign), who would be more valuable on the trade market between the two? It might be Judy, but I bet it wouldn't be by much even though Judy can probably step onto the MLB field tomorrow.
And Garrett has played baseball for a while. He just didn't play as much in high school because he was focusing on basketball. He pitched two years for his high school team, then took off his junior season for basketball. He didn't pitch as a senior either for his team, but did work out and pitch with a coach to prepare for the MLB draft.