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Originally Posted by 11larkin11
To me, personally, stolen bases is an UNDERRATED stat. Sure, the argument is that a single +SB does not equal a double, due to inability to drive someone in with that SB. But its the same as the argument between a single and a walk. With a runner on 2B, a single scores him, a walk does not. Yet, walking is the most important stat in sabremetrics and on this website.
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No, it isn't. That is just what you seem to be taking from conversations.
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Now, if a guy is getting thrown out a good percentage, I agree its worthless. But to say 55 steals isn't worth looking at is a flat out lie. In a time where offense is declining and pitching is on the rise, small is going to find its way back in the game, as you can see with the NL regaining momentum vs. the AL. Stealing bases IS small ball, and while it can lose you some runs, if managed right, and can steal you many many more runs.
And yes, I just had about 50 different arguments in that one piece. /rant
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Steals aren't worthless, but they are often overrated because the amount of guys who can steal enough to make a difference AND do so at a high enough rate to make a difference are incredibly rare. Like with all blanket statements, there are exceptions. But with most guys, the trade off for that extra base isn't worth the risk of the out.