Re: Will Juan Duran be a bust?
Originally Posted by redsof72
Most scouts feel that Duran's offensive struggles will worsen as he moves up because he is a "mistake" hitter. The pitcher has to leave a ball out over the plate in one specific spot for Duran to make contact, and when he does, Duran will hit it eight miles. Mistake pitches of this nature get more and more rare as the pitchers get better. Some scouts do not see Duran ever being able to play well at the Double-A level or higher. There are some similarities to B.J. Szymanski.
Duran has tremendous raw power. That is the positive element that he brings to the table. As a left fielder on defense, he is simply horrendous by the standards that we traditionally set for professionals, even at the Single-A level. He struggles to catch any fly ball in which he has to reach away from his body to snag. Perhaps he will gain coordination as he gets older, but problematic is the fact that he shows little interest in improving in that area.
Lastly, he is a very poor base runner. Part of this could be a matter of simply being out of shape. There have been numerous examples of Duran being on second and, when attempting to score on a single, slowing down dramatically over the last 45 feet to a point of a jog and getting tagged out on a ball in which it looked as though he would be safe with ease if he had simply continued to sprint. You could watch minor league games for 10 years and never see anyone else do that in this manner.
Duran is a well-liked guy by his teammates but lacks the hunger and drive to improve that most every major leaguer had on his way to the big leagues. The 2012 season will be a key year for him. You certainly see the power and imposing body, but he has to start working at it.
Gives more credence to his future being at 1B. Obviously, he has to learn to hit (and get a better work ethic) first.