Originally Posted by Benihana
Not discounting pitching, I just prefer longer term, higher upside picks (including pitchers) unless you're really trying to fulfill an immediate need. As successful as he's been, I prefer picks like Stephenson even to picks like Leake- especially at this point in time for the Reds. It is this part of Wacha's scouting report which makes me hesitant:
I had a similar debate to this on RedsZone the year after Leake was drafted, as I had no interest in "that year's Leake" Alex Wimmers (who also had strong local ties). Read the thread below to find out how that worked out.
I'm not saying I'd be very upset with Wacha or one of those college arms. I just think there might be better picks out there for the Reds at 14. We'll find out in three weeks. Given the very successful track record of this regime at drafting early, I will certainly defer to their judgement. But I'll keep my fingers crossed for Shaffer (same site has him as "one of the draft's best power bats; really impressive middle-of-the-order potential") or one of the HS kids like Correa, Hawkins, Gioloto or Fried- the latter two have #1 starter potential.
I would tend to agree with you in that I would prefer high upside guys to close to ready high floor guys, especially now where most of the major league slots are locked up for a few years. Of the guys you mention Correa, Gioloto or Fried would be awesome. Realistically, Gioloto is the only one that might fall due to his injury and/or signability. Unfortunately if it is signability he probably will not sign with the Reds, but who knows.
Zach Eflin might be an interesting prospect depending on how he pitches the next few weeks.