Originally Posted by Kc61
On the first point, if Arroyo comes out after the sixth, Reds would have (should have) double switched Frazier into the game anyway. So I don't see why that eighth inning would have been any different for the Reds.
Becuase the timing would be different. Everything about the inning would be changed. The Reds might have scored 10 runs, they may have scored 0. But every sequence would be different.
If the pitcher decides to hesitate a second before throwing a pitch, he's changed the sequence of events. Especially in a sport like baseball, where randomness runs supreme.