Originally Posted by M2
A few thoughts on Cingrani:
1) I recall when we were promised that Homer Bailey was going to be a much better pitcher than Johnny Cueto (everybody who knew what was what and had watched them said so). In reality what it reflected was that a lot of people were so invested in Bailey being the guy that they couldn't see that Cueto was the guy.
2) Along those lines, the guy who's dominating even though he wasn't supposed to is usually a guy worth keeping an eye on. You want outliers. Outliers can be awesome. Cingrani was converted from a college reliever to a starter. That was supposed to be slow going, but he dominated. Cingrani jumped two levels up to the Cali league start this season. That was supposed to be too much too soon according to some, but he dominated. Now he's up in AA a year after he got drafted and he's dominating again.
3) If you want precedent on a LH pitcher who made hay on an awesome fastball/change combo along with a slider that can be problematic, look no farther than Johan Santana.
1. No one ever said Cueto wasn't better than Bailey at the time, it was just expected that Bailey would keep improving and that Cueto probably wouldn't since he was more polished.
2. Cingrani started 3 years in college. Not exactly a reliever to starter. He only relieved his senior year.
3. That would be nice and all, except that Cingrani is more of a FB/SL than FB/CH guy even though his CH is better than his slider.