Re: Interesting Billy Hamilton stats
Take it from the beginning. When he first showed up after being drafted he was so raw I think some people wondered if he knew which end of the bat was the knob. A bit of hyperbole but you get the idea. That was 3 short years ago. All he really had was this wiry skinny amazingly fast agile body and very, very raw tools. That summer after signing it looked like the Reds might have made a mistake taking Billy so high. Would this kid ever hit?
His line at GCL was .205/.235/.277 and he fanned 47 times in 43 games with 14 steals. The speed was there but he looked so overmatched at that level where he faced other HSer picks, International players and some college players just starting out. Hey - it was worth a gamble, high ceiling but the kid was obviously a long long term project.
Next year 2010 at Billings it seemed someone else showed up in Montana. A .318/.383/.456 line w/13 2Bs, 10 3Bs, and 2 HRs. Plus, he stole 48 bases, struck out 56 times, down to just 3 in 5 games!
2011 He jumped up the improvement another notch, getting better in almost every aspect of his game including impressive plate discipline. His line in Dayton? .278/.340/.360
with 18 2Bs and 9 3Bs and 103 steals. Seems a dip in BA and OBP and SP but Billings is a hit happy league while Dayton is neutral and a big step up in levels, plus its a players first exposure to the rigors of full season pro baseball playing day in and day out without many breaks. Lots of guys wear down. Billy revved up.
Now this year. Again in a hitters league his numbers have jumped as one should expect but they have dramatically improved across the line - essentially putting up the same counting numbers in roughly 65% of the PAs as he did last season. Who knows what kind of numbers he'll end up with.
It is this season by season progress that excites me. When I hear some say sell him while the hype is high, I wonder if they aren't selling this kid short. Look at the improving discipline. The bat skills, the base running , the defensive improvements, the LEAPS he's made in his game in a very, very short time, look at the linear progression and the line is straight up.
I'm believing in Billy until that progression bogs down. Something tells me that may be awhile.