Originally Posted by Benihana
When two guys profile pretty similarly, and their minor league numbers are pretty similar, they tend to perform pretty similarly at the major league level.
Drew Stubbs and Chris Heisey are a great example of this. Heisey had similar or better numbers as Stubbs at every step along the minor league ladder. Yet you praised Stubbs because of your own "scouting instincts", because he had the pedigree.
Well guess what? After three years in the majors, Heisey has similar or better numbers than Stubbs even still.
I would argue that up to this point, Henry Rodriguez has profiled pretty similarly to Edwin Encarnacion, and has put up very similar numbers. I'm not guaranteeing he'll have the same career as him (especially with what EdE has done this season), but I don't think it is a ridiculous comp either- especially if Rodriguez is given a similar opportunity (which his attitude and Frazier's presence may prevent).
Stubbs has started every day, Heisey has had most of his starts picked for him against pitchers he profiled well against. Stubbs has stronger defense. I didn't praise Stubbs, I simply thought he was going to be better than others did because I saw that he had power potential that others (on the board) didn't.
Numbers aren't profiles. They are production.
We are just going to disagree with it.