Originally Posted by Scrap Irony
fop isn't saying a nebulous "some time," doug. He's talking about the window of competitiveness over the next three years or so. (And especially next season.) His opinion is that Jocketty and company won't want to trust a rookie SS to possibly outperform a 3.0 WAR player. He'd have to have a monster Spring Training AND Cozart would have to struggle big time for that to happen.
This is exactly it. If Cozart is a 3 win player this year, that means DiDi would need to be a 4 win player for the Reds to get good value by replacing Cozart. I just don't see that in his rookie season, as good as he's been this year. And because the Reds are in their "window," they can't afford to be patient at The Show with DiDi. But if he continues to kill it at Louisville and forces the Reds hand, I'm all for competition.
Also, I think Cozart can continue to improve, especially his OBP skills. His career minor league OBP was 50 points higher than it has been at The Show. And his OBP averaged over .342 for his last 3 seasons in the minors.