Originally Posted by MikeS21
I really hope this stolen base record chasing doesn't affect Hamilton's learning curve. I think he'll be so focused on breaking the record that he may learn some bad habits and be too aggressive. He already gets caught stealing far too many times. He needs to work on not getting caught, rather than running for some meaningless record.
He needs to learn to read pitchers much better. This time in the minor leagues is for learning how to perfect the craft - not breaking records.
I've read more than once, that in order for stolen bases to add to the expected run total of a team, a base stealer needs to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 71-73% or higher in stolen base %.
Billy was successful 83.2% of the time in Bakersfield (104/125)
Billy has been successful 73.3% of the time in Pensacola (11/15)
Overall Billy has been successful 82.14% of the time. Run Billy Run (ignoring the potential for injury or wear and tear of that many stolen base attempts)
I don't think anyone could argue that Billy is getting caught way too often. IMHO, the best way to learn how not to get caught stealing bases is to keep attempting them to improve your reads on pitchers, catcher pops times, ways to slide into base to avoid a tag, etc... Life has no better teacher than experience.