Re: Who are the top pitching prospects in the Reds minor leagues?
It is difficult to compare pitchers of different experience levels; tough to compare a guy with a great arm vs. a guy with mediocre stuff but good results in minors. Baseball America once made a point of explaining why they ranked Valiquette higher than Lecure even though they felt Lecure had a better chance of getting to the bigs.
Still, with every minor leaguer you are talking about "potential" and Stephenson has the most potential of any Reds arm in the last 35 years. He has the whole package. Injuries are the only potential road block.
I like Rogers. He is a power arm who is young, has had good results, is improving quickly, and has the makeup to keep getting better. Not sure where he comes in, but surely somewhere in the top 10. Reds really like Romano even though numbers have not shown up yet.
As has been stated by many in the past, hard to judge pitchers. In the minors, Bailey was viewed as a better prospect than Cueto...for good reasons...because he had the better arm and better stuff, but Cueto maximized what he had and Bailey has not. Scouts were not wrong...they were evaluating what they were seeing at the time.
It is a constantly-revised exercise when ranking players because you are doing your rankings based on what you know today and the prospect is only that guy for...today. Tomorrow, he's someone else.
It reminds me of comments Steve Mariucci once made about Kurt Warner, a non-drafted free agent who will someday go to the Hall of Fame. Mariucci, quarterbacks coach with the Packers when Warner was in camp prior to his Arena Footbal days, was asked how everyone could have made such a big mistake on this guy. He said there was no mistake, that Warner should NOT have been drafted, that no reasonable person could have expected him to ever transform from what he was coming out of college to what he eventually became.
Last edited by redsof72; 08-15-2012 at 11:44 PM.