Originally Posted by 757690
The issue with with Bailey has always been his inconsistency. He has better stuff, but can't put it together for an extended period of time.
I think it's funny that people a month ago were touting how consistant Bailey had been, since the season was only halfway over.
For me, it's Leake, but only because of the reasons RMR gave. If they had the same controllable years, it's a toss up, imo, both are solid #4-5 starters.
My point was that if this thread was started in late July, not nearly as many people would have said they'd rather hold on to Leake. Coming off several bad starts in a row can cause people to be quite reactionary, IMO.
Over the past three years, they've basically been the same pitcher. Two very different styles obviously, but hovering around low 4's and high 3's in terms of FIP and xFIP, and a difference of 0.3 WAR between the two. Who projects out better? I think the ceiling on Leake is pretty low. He probably is what he is.
Homer may very well be who he is, but however remote the chance is for him to take the next step, I think he has a much better chance than Leake does.