Originally Posted by OGB
I don't always agree with you, Doug, but I'll always acknowledge that you study the game (particularly the minors) far more than I do. Because of that, I have a lot of respect for your opinion. To that I'll add that it is refreshing to see someone who is able to evaluate the prospects of his favorite team objectively when the overall tone of this board is one of rampant, ridiculous optimism. It always makes me laugh when people post something about a projected Reds lineup and rotation two or three years from now and more than half of the players are still playing in AA or lower.
I don't see any of this "ridiculous, rampant optimism" you speak of. If Hamilton only projects as a .750 OPS bat with 80 steals, he would be of enormous value. One doesn't even have to expect power to ever develop to hope for a .350/.400/.750 situation.
If he sustains a 10-12% walk rate, and around 18% strikeout rate, he'll fit in the above line. And that's not really ridiculously optimistic to expect.